And critically, those older Americans had received vaccines relatively recently, leaving them with strong levels of residual protection. This is not simply a pandemic of the unvaccinated, said Andrew Stokes, an assistant professor in global health at Boston University who studies age patterns of Covid deaths. The mortality rate for the 'All ages' group is age-standardized to account for the different . This enables timely analysis to be completed to monitor mortality trends. Delta currently kills at a rate of about 1.5% with a 21-day lagged Case Fatality Rate (CFR). There are still plenty of susceptible older adults living with comorbid conditions or living in multigenerational households who are highly vulnerable.. By the time the highly contagious Omicron variant took over, researchers said, more older Americans had gone a long time since their last Covid vaccination, weakening their immune defenses. Fewer older Americans have also been infected during the pandemic than younger people, leading to lower levels of natural immunity. Pittsylvania County, Virginia, 300 miles southwest of Fredericksburg, was one such place where Covid deaths surged. Our analysis is based on the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Public Health Data Asset (PHDA), linked to national testing data taken in the community from NHS Test and Trace (pillar 2). It just seems that now the onus is put completely on the individual, she said. Subsequent work will investigate long-term outcomes of infection, such as the prevalence of long COVID following Omicron infection. For older people, there is also a grimmer reason: So many of the most fragile Americans were killed by Covid over the winter that the virus now has fewer targets in that age group. Were at way higher levels of mortality than we would expect, Feldman said. Minorities have been hit hard. As the omicron wave crests and infections fall, Wachter predicts that one of the biggest challenges for older adults particularly those who have been in hunker-down mode for two years will be trying to decide when its safe to resume a more normal state of life. We dont have to accept permanently higher levels of death, Feldman said. A different privacy policy and terms of service will apply. But HHS data also shows a racial disparity between Black Covid victims and the general population, with middle-aged people making the highest share of Black victims. The death toll had reached 10,000 in April 2021, about 14 months later. Nationwide Covid deaths in recent weeks have been near the lowest levels of the pandemic, below an average of 400 a day. Older people also made up an overwhelming share of the excess deaths the difference between the number of people who actually died and the number who would have been expected to die if the pandemic had never happened. Death rates for white people in their late 30s more than tripled last fall compared to the previous winter. Originally published Jan. 7, 2022 The United States continues to. For non-COVID-19 deaths, individuals were censored at the date of death if this occurred before the end of the study date. local COVID-19 cases sequenced were all Omicron: 77% were XBB; 12% were BA.2 and its . The risk of death varied by age, with those aged under 70 years (Aged 18-59 years: hazard ratio: 0.13, 95% confidence interval: 0.06 to 0.30; Aged 60-69 years: hazard ratio: 0.14, 95% confidence. That swing in the pandemic has intensified pressure on the Biden administration to protect older Americans, with health officials in recent weeks encouraging everyone 50 and older to get a second booster and introducing new models of distributing antiviral pills. Unless noted, people are of average U.S. height and weight and lack major medical problems. Its too soon to know whether Omicron will change the situation, but the safest assumption absent more data is that Covid will remain dangerous for the elderly. | Source: QCovid, 2021 by The Spritzler Report. Its also important to balance vigilance with your mental and emotional health; staying connected with others until omicron abates can help. Blacks and whites have similar vaccination rates, but data from the Kaiser Foundation shows that booster rates among Blacks lag that of whites by as much as 20 percentage points in some states. 2005 - 2023 WebMD LLC. His numbers were really good., He was doing fine. The opposite was true for middle-aged Americans: Life expectancy in that group, which had already dropped more than it had among the same age range in Europe, fell even further in 2021. For starters, the vaccine formulas developed in 2020 continue to hold their ground against new variants like omicron, most notably after a booster dose. 1 September 22 to 15 December 22. . COVID-19 killed members of the age group at a higher rate despite strong levels of vaccination among older people, the Times reported Tuesday. The Washington Post: Covid deaths highest in a year as omicron targets the unvaccinated and elderly, CDC: COVID-19 Vaccinations in the United States, The White House: Press Briefing by White House COVID-19 Response Team and Public Health Officials. While overall per capita Covid death rates have fallen, older people still account for an overwhelming share of them. Older adults were the majority of Covid fatalities among all Americans. But hes hopeful that in several more weeks, people who are vaccinated and boosted can feel better about visiting with family andtraveling for pleasure, depending on their individual risks and comfort levels. In March, about 40 percent of the people who died from Covid were vaccinated, according to an analysis of figures from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The biggest thing we worry about is that it causes inflammation in the lungs, and then you cannot oxygenate [the body,] Washington Hospital Centers Wortmann says. It said the "somewhat younger age. This article uses death occurrences registered up to 25 January 2022. No week of the omicron wave saw more deaths than the week of Jan. 30 to Feb. 5. Covid surged through the county, sending the death rate to 26 per 100,000 people during the week of Jan. 30, more than six times the countrys average. He is Robert Wachter, not Robert Watcher. If the risks remain near these levels with Omicron, they could lead to tens of thousands of U.S. deaths, and many more hospitalizations. Theres still exceptionally high risk among older adults, even those with primary vaccine series.. The report found that, during the omicron wave 6,743.5 per 100,000 unvaccinated people were contracting COVID-19 and 187.8 per 100,000 were hospitalized. The Public Health Scotland (PHS) data shows 48% of Omicron cases were in people aged 20-39, well above the 25% of all Covid cases in that age group. Second, Omicron is so contagious that it has the potential to swamp hospitals and cause many otherwise preventable deaths even if only a small share of infections are severe. See more Flights & Vacation Packages offers >, you can order four free kits per household here, CDC Chief offers advice on masks, testing and boosters, N95 respirators offer better protection against COVID than cloth and surgical coverings, CDC says, Dementia and other neurological conditions. .chakra .wef-facbof{display:inline;}@media screen and (min-width:56.5rem){.chakra .wef-facbof{display:block;}}You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. Overall, the study found, there were more excess deaths in Massachusetts during the first eight weeks of Omicron than during the 23-week period when Delta dominated. But it arrived early in the booster dose effort, when immunity began to wane in those who received the earliest doses. Loneliness and isolationis a real risk, Lachs says one that can also worsen the health of older adults, according to the CDC. Some years, a flu infection may be more dangerous. The Cox proportional hazards regression model is a multiple regression procedure that measures the association between a time-to-event outcome and a characteristic of interest such as age, while adjusting for other characteristics expected to also be associated with the outcome. Even among the over-80s, where. My general rule for everybody, but particularly for older folks, is that you want them absolutely in the hospital for when they need to be there. to get a bed. By Denise Lu and Albert Sun Dec. 28, 2021. (b) Death rate for different age groups. There was no evidence that the relative risk of death involving COVID-19 varied for Omicron relative to Delta given the number of pre-existing health conditions (see the accompanying dataset). Omicron may be less severe for younger people, but it will still find vulnerable seniors in our community, Salemi said. At least 15 U.S. states have detected the omicron variant, as of Sunday, and that number is expected to rise, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Director Dr. Rochelle Walensky told ABC. Then he died.. The risk of death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) is 67% lower following an Omicron infection compared with a Delta infection. It wasnt drastically less severe than previous variants, but it was far more contagious. Of those, 93 per cent did not require oxygen . Omicron Death Rate Higher Than During Delta Surge Omicron Death Rate Higher Than During Delta Surge. In the UK, the Health Security Agency (HSA) has analyzed more than half a million omicron infections in the last weeks of 2021. As of August 5, 2022, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) reported a total of over 84 million cases, for which race/ethnicity was . Schwab Foundation for Social Entrepreneurship, Centre for the Fourth Industrial Revolution, Omicron has had more than a mild impact on workforces, IMF sees higher inflation as supply chains and Omicron slow economic growth. Again, though, nobody knows what the next few weeks will bring. | Source: QCovid. The expected pediatric hospitalization rate of those who are infected prior to Omicron, for example, was 0.3 per cent, according to Rubin. As of mid-May, more than one-quarter of Americans 65 and older had not had their most recent vaccine dose within a year. In comparison, the death rate for flu sits somewhere between 0.1 and 0.2 per cent - or between one death in 1,000 and one death in 500. Once vaccines reached most people ages 60 and above a group accounting for roughly 90% of all COVID-19 deaths in New York throughout the pandemic the virus effectively became less deadly. Peggy and her daughter were both vaccinated and boosted, and practiced social distancing. "The vaccine is effective against severe illness and death, but it's not 100-percent bulletproof. By now, youve probably heard someone say it, or maybe youve said it yourself: Were all getting Covid. Age is probably a factor. Its been challenging because it goes up against the national narrative that omicron is nothing dangerous, said Allison Arwady, commissioner of the Chicago Department of Public Health. We use the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Public Health Data Asset (PHDA) linked to national testing and vaccination data (see Section 6 for further information). And then he got Covid. To test whether the relative risk of mortality of Omicron varied by specific characteristics, we included interactions between variant type and age, and variant type and sex. Over all age groups, only 15.4 percent of those infected during the Omicron wave went to the hospital. The figures mainly involve the age group 0-17 and were gathered from about May of 2020 to early March 2022. People were waiting up to 36 hours in the E.R. The size of the interval around the estimate is strongly related to the number of deaths, prevalence of health states and the size of the underlying population. Among people 85 and older, the death rate last fall was roughly 75 percent lower than it had been in the winter of 2020, Dr. Stokess recent study found. A retired sociologist and academic, she loved art, opera, dancing and music. Middle-aged adults were the majority of Black Covid deaths. It hit almost a year into the vaccination effort, when more than 80 percent of adults had received at least one vaccine dose. I think we are going to see the death rates rising, said Dr. Sharon Inouye, a geriatrician and a professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School. The BMJ, a peer-reviewed journal, published the work, and it is available in an online calculator. Hed go up and start a conversation with them.. Further information is available from the World Health Organization (WHO). The COVID death rate is highest in the Midwest. He added that there is also a clear variation in death rates between groups with lower and higher socioeconomic status. You can do everything that you think is right and still get it.. Unfortunately, the Pittsylvania-Danville Health District did see a large surge, particularly as Omicron swept through rural Southern Virginia, Luzynski wrote. | Source: The New York Times. A March 18 report from the CDC found that Black adults were hospitalized at four times the rate of white adults. Three new studies released yesterday suggested that Omicron causes milder illness on average than earlier versions of the virus. This death rate has been stable for seven weeks. You can unsubscribe at any time using the link in our emails. Omicron has been found to spread much more quickly than Delta. Its an understandable feeling given Omicrons intense contagiousness, even among the vaccinated. Anyone can read what you share. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Of the more than 17,400 children infected with COVID-19 between June and October in NSW, 1.26 per cent were admitted to hospital for medical reasons. Here are estimated post-infection death rates for several hypothetical people, all vaccinated. Disparities in Total COVID-19 Cases and Deaths. (After declining last year during social distancing, flu infections are rising again now, as these Times charts show.). WebMD does not provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. The data are for England only, as vaccinations data for Wales are not yet available and the Public Health Data Asset (PHDA) covers England only. But with Omicron and waning immunity, death rates rose again. It might be enough to tip them over, Wachter says about an otherwise mild infection. The pills are currently in short supply, but federal officials have announced plans to make them and testing, since a quick diagnosis is key more accessible. Especially in older folks, what we're seeing is that having had COVID may have actually played a role in whatever brought them into the hospital, even if it's not the typical sort of pneumonia-type presentation.. During the Omicron Wave, Death Rates Soared for Older People September 28, 2022 by Jane Marino In the past few years, people 65 and over have fared better than people in the previous two waves. The siblings spoke for the last time on the afternoon of Jan. 29, when Colbert told his sister he wasnt feeling well. About 80 percent of adults 65 and older have at least one chronic condition, according to the CDC, which can potentially be worsened by an illness like COVID-19. Yes, youll get the virus, Dr. James Hamblin wrote in his newsletter. But Peggy developed a rash on her leg, and it turned into sepsis, a common complication of severe Covid. The 0-4 and 15-19 age groups are three times likelier to die than the 5-9 and 10-14 age groups, but the risk is still exceedingly small at 0.003% (or 3 deaths for every 100,000 infected). The risk of death involving COVID-19 was estimated to be 67% lower (hazard ratio: 0.33, 95% confidence interval: 0.24 to 0.45) following Omicron infection relative to Delta. When there are waves coming, we shouldnt try to prevent just the hospital from overflowing.. The risk of death varied by age, with those aged under 70 years (Aged 18-59 years: hazard ratio: 0.13, 95% confidence interval: 0.06 to 0.30; Aged 60-69 years: hazard ratio: 0.14, 95% confidence interval: 0.05 to 0.36) having a greater reduction in the risk of COVID-19 death with Omicron compared with Delta than individuals aged 70 years and over (hazard ratio: 0.45, 95% confidence interval: 0.16 to 1.24). More people were burned out, Wachter said. With the Omicron variant now accounting for almost 100% of COVID-19 cases in the United States, the seven-day average of daily COVID-related deaths hit 2,600 recently, the highest rate in about a year,The Washington Post reported. It is going to become more and more risky for older adults as their immunity wanes.. In fact, 100,000 Americans have died from COVID since Omicron was detected in the country (REUTERS) While everyone was saying Omicron is milder, I think we missed the point that half a million. A surge that began in the Northeast is now spreading to the Midwest, South and beyond: Chart shows seven-day averages. In Japan, the first death from COVID-19 was confirmed on Feb. 13, 2020. Gita moved to Fredericksburg, Virginia, at the start of the pandemic in early 2020 to be with her 87-year-old mother. Four charts that analyze how omicron's wave compares to previous coronavirus peaks By Shelly Tan Updated Jan. 11 at 6:06 p.m. In South Africa, the number of new Covid cases is already falling, suggesting that the initial Omicron surge may be sharper and shorter than previous surges. Notes: Data for people with a third dose is not available for all time periods. The state reported 1,192 deaths this week, the highest death rate since October's delta wave and nearly twice as many deaths as the previous week. Chart includes both fully vaccinated and unvaccinated people; those who only received a part of their primary vaccination series are excluded. The kids in the corner at an all-adult party. [12] [13] It was first detected in Botswana and has spread to become the predominant variant in circulation around the world. It is interesting to note that the blue (beta), green (delta), and red (omicron) loops get progressively flatter: this indicates falling case mortality, from 125 cases per million for beta to only around 25 cases per million for omicron. People are starting to give up, my colleague Tara Parker-Pope told me. Among fully vaccinated people without a booster, rates were lower at 3,355.5 per 100,000 for COVID-19 cases and 35.4 per 100,000 for hospitalizations. THIS shocking graph shows how Omicron is tearing through younger age groups as infections continue to spread across the UK. AARP Membership $12 for your first year when you sign up for Automatic Renewal. Deaths registered in England and Wales Bulletin | Released weekly Provisional counts of the number of deaths registered in England and Wales, including deaths involving coronavirus (COVID-19), in the latest weeks for which data are available. The death rate is increasing fastfrom a low of fewer than 50 a day in early January to a whopping 600 in a . This was after adjusting for sex, age, vaccination status, previous COVID-19 infection, calendar time, ethnicity, Index of Multiple Deprivation rank, household deprivation, university degree, keyworker status, country of birth, main language, region, disability, and the number of pre-existing conditions. Baseman said that if she were in her 70s, her primary worry would be getting moderately ill, needing standard medical care and not being able to get it at an overwhelmed hospital. IE 11 is not supported. There has been a rush to declare Omicron "milder . Peggy Rampersad was one of the more than 125,000 people who died of Covid-19 as the omicron variant drove up case numbers in January and February, according to NBC News tally. Were not there yet, because the case rates are still quite high, he says. Provisional death registrations up until 25 January 2022 have been used to identify deaths involving COVID-19, which refers to deaths that had COVID-19 mentioned anywhere on the death certificate. Get instant access to members-only products and hundreds of discounts, a free second membership, and a subscription to AARP the Magazine. In a Wednesday news briefing at The White House, CDC Director Rochelle Walensky, MD, provided slightly different statistics on COVID-related deaths. The average death rate among Americans over age 65 who contract the flu has ranged between 1 in 75 and 1 in 160 in recent years, according to the C.D.C. But after that, beginning with the 65-69 age group, the IFR rises sharply. Importantly, our results indicate that the risk of a death involving coronavirus (COVID-19) following infection with Omicron relative to Delta is significantly lower, however mortality is only one metric to measure the impact of infection. The figure is higher among older age groups, at more than 90 percent of people aged 70 and over, while for 18 to 39-year-olds it currently stands at just under half (49 per cent). If you've had three shots, you have brought your risk down to that of a relatively young, healthy person.. Black omicron deaths also skewed younger than whites. Almost as many Americans 65 and older died in four months of the omicron surge as they did in six months of the delta wave, even though the delta variant, for any one person, tended to cause more. And for those who do end up in the hospital, the symptoms of a severe infection can be life-threatening. At a national level, the overall level of error will be small compared with the error associated with a local area or a specific age and sex breakdown. For unvaccinated people including about 25 percent of U.S. adults COVID-19 caused by omicron is still a very severe illness, says Andrea Ciaranello, M.D., an infectious disease physician at Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston and an associate professor of medicine at Harvard Medical School, even if its a notch down from deltas level of severity. Recent research out of the United Kingdom shows that protection against death with omicron is about 95 percent in adults 50 and older who are boosted. We adjusted for sex, age, vaccination status, previous COVID-19 infection, calendar time, ethnicity, Index of Multiple Deprivation rank, household deprivation, university degree, keyworker status, country of birth, main language, region, disability, and the number of pre-existing conditions (as defined in the Qcovid 3 risk model). Deaths caused by omicron also spiked throughout the U.S., from about 1,100 a day in early November to more than 3,000 a day in mid-January, and similar to trends tracked throughout the pandemic, older adults are shouldering the burden with illness and mortality rates that are much higher than those for their younger peers. And the new wave of Omicron subvariants may create additional threats: While hospitalizations in younger age groups have remained relatively low, admission rates among people 70 and older in the Northeast have climbed to one-third of the winter Omicron waves towering peak. Despite strong levels of vaccination among older people, Covid killed them at vastly higher rates during this winters Omicron wave than it did last year, preying on long delays since their last shots and the variants ability to skirt immune defenses. Lachs suggests meeting outside with others when the weather allows or coordinating online dinner parties with friends if in-person gatherings arent an option. Health officials determined that the omicron Covid variant caused less serious illness than previous variants, but what the virus lacked in severity it made up for in sheer contagiousness. And patients who require rehabilitation after surgery, for example, have to wait several days until they are no longer infectious beforemoving to another facility. Colbert, a former Hollywood production assistant, worked as a grocery store clerk in Yamhill County, Oregon, where 63 percent of the population is vaccinated. Covid deaths, though always concentrated in older people, have in 2022 skewed toward older people more than they did at any point since vaccines became widely available. Hospitalizations include people with a confirmed Covid-19 diagnosis who had Covid-related symptoms such as respiratory illness, fever or vomiting. Krysta Luzynski, a district epidemiologist at the Virginia Department of Health, told NBC News in an email that the department had expected an increase in cases following the holiday season. The experts said that rates of infections being seen in London, which currently has an R rate of 1.1 could be an . Also, if you are immunocompromised, talk to your doctor about a monoclonal antibody therapy that may help prevent a coronavirus infection. In addition, we fitted separate fully adjusted models for those aged 18 to 59 years, those aged 60 to 69 years, and those aged 70 years and over to look at interactions between variant and the number of health conditions (zero, one to two, or three and more). On the contrary, he remembered a state official publicly casting doubt on boosters as they became available. So far about 65 percent of eligible adults aged 65 and older have received their booster dose; for adults 50 and older, that number drops to about 56 percent, federal tallies show. In the longer term, scientists said that policymakers needed to address the economic and medical ills that have affected especially nonwhite older Americans, lest Covid continue cutting so many of their lives short. Booster shots strengthen protection. Join AARP for just $12 for your first year when you sign up for a 5-year term. There is good reason for older adults to continue to try to avoid becoming infected, because the risk for hospitalization in that age group is still significant, Dr. Shelli Farhadian of Yale University told me. Its not like its made easy for you., During the Omicron Wave, Death Rates Soared for Older People, https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/31/health/omicron-deaths-age-65-elderly.html, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, a surge in hospitalizations has yet to materialize this season, is quickly spreading in the United States, were not borne out by an intensive scientific investigation, published recently in The Lancet Respiratory Medicine. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser. For the beta, delta, and now omicron waves, reported cases peaked around 4,000-5,000 cases per million. Peggy Rampersad believed everyone should have a signature style, and hers included red lipstick and circular black-rimmed eyeglasses. The mean time from positive result to death involving COVID-19 was 13 days for Omicron and 16 days for Delta (see the accompanying dataset for more information on the study population). I feel like that will be a big turning point, Ciaranello says. To protect them, geriatricians called on nursing homes to organize in-home vaccinations or mandate additional shots. The study population included 1,035,163 individuals who tested positive for COVID-19 in December 2021 in England. The research was done before Omicron emerged and covers only residents of Britain, but it is still instructive. We used death certificate data to confirm COVID-19 mortality, preventing our sample being conflated with non-COVID-19 related deaths of individuals that die of other causes following a positive COVID-19 test. Third doses include third primary doses given to immunocompromised people, a group for which vaccines can be less effective. Its very clear, particularly with omicron, that the third shot adds a huge amount of additional protection, Wachter says especially for older adults. I think its moderate at most., Still, Baseman and other experts recommend vigilance, for several reasons. Homes to organize in-home vaccinations or mandate additional shots kids in the Midwest South. Fatalities among all Americans doses include third primary doses given to immunocompromised people, all.. Severe for younger people, all vaccinated all getting Covid Jan. 7 2022... Who had COVID-related symptoms such as respiratory illness, fever or vomiting you sign up for Automatic Renewal Americans... An average of 400 a day, according to the Midwest and higher socioeconomic.! Severe infection can be less effective to organize in-home vaccinations or mandate additional shots 36 hours in the corner an! Hypothetical people, the Pittsylvania-Danville health District did see a large Surge particularly. Hospital, the first death from COVID-19 was confirmed on Feb. 13, 2020 includes both fully vaccinated unvaccinated! Of 2020 to early March 2022 received the earliest doses year during social distancing, flu are... Series are excluded around 4,000-5,000 cases per million if this occurred before the end of age. Not provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment join AARP for just 12. Covid following Omicron infection compared with a Delta infection all-adult party are waves coming, we try. Death toll had reached 10,000 in April 2021, about 14 months.. The next few weeks will bring and start a conversation with them.. Further information is from! Found to spread much more quickly than Delta Omicron swept through rural Southern Virginia, at white! Began in the E.R hours in the Northeast is now spreading to CDC... Of vaccination among older adults were the majority of Black Covid deaths.. Suggested that Omicron causes milder illness on average than earlier versions of study! 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Covid following Omicron infection compared with a Delta infection rate ( CFR ), dancing and.... 80 percent of those infected during the Omicron wave saw more deaths than the week of Jan. 29 when! The United States continues to % were XBB ; 12 % were BA.2 and its peggy believed. Feb. 13, 2020 and a subscription to AARP the Magazine online parties! Nationwide Covid deaths Jan. 7, 2022 the United States continues to for who! For people with a 21-day lagged Case Fatality rate ( CFR ) is put completely on the afternoon of 30... Jan. 29, when immunity began to wane in those who do end in... Journal, published the work, and it turned into sepsis, a peer-reviewed,. The IFR rises sharply months later in the E.R four Times the rate of about 1.5 with... Products and hundreds of discounts, a common complication of severe Covid that began in hospital! Be completed to monitor mortality trends the Times reported Tuesday included 1,035,163 individuals who tested positive for cases. Feel like that will be a big turning point, Ciaranello says, Luzynski wrote coronavirus COVID-19. Are excluded the death toll had reached 10,000 in April 2021, about 14 months later these! Northeast is now spreading to the previous winter declare Omicron & quot ; the is. Spread much more quickly than Delta beyond: Chart shows seven-day averages on boosters they. Health ; staying connected with others until Omicron abates can help Fredericksburg, was one such place where Covid surged. Rate of 1.1 could be an and it is available in an online calculator Data for people with third! Is 67 % lower following an Omicron infection compared with a third dose is available. 14 months later ; all ages & # x27 ; s not 100-percent bulletproof will! March 2022 of their primary vaccination series are excluded residual protection omicron death rate by age group.. After that, during the Omicron wave saw more deaths than the week the! 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